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커피 수급 불균형 2년 연속 이어져

기후변화로 커피 공급이 2050년에는 절반으로 줄어들 것이라는 연구결과가 지속적으로 언론에 오르내리고 있는 가운데 전 세계 커피 수요공급 불균형이 2년 연속 이어진 것으로 나타나 우려를 낳고 있습니다.

ICO가 지난주 개최한 제117차 국제협의회의에서 발표된 ‘커피시장전망’ 보고서에 따르면 2015/16년도 커피수확량이 1억4710만 백(bag)으로 전년도보다 0.3% 증가한 것으로 나타났습니다. 아라비카는 거의 변동이 없었고 로부스타는 0.9% 증가했습니다.

반면 세계 소비량은 2015/16년도에 1억5100만백으로 1.1%나 증가하여 많은 국가들의 강력한 수요가 일고 있음을 보여주고 있습니다. 2014/15년도에도 수요가 공급을 앞질렀는데 이같은 현상이 두 해 연속으로 이어지고 있다고 합니다.

최대생산국은 여전히 브라질, 베트남, 콜롬비아, 인도네시아 순서로 나타나고 있습니다. 베트남과 콜롬비아는 증가추세를 보였지만 브라질은 4년 연속 감소해 우려를 보였고, 인도네시아는 감소추세에서 이번 수확년도에서 증가로 전환한 것으로 집계됐습니다.

ICO는 브라질의 경우 2016/17년에는 5500만 백으로 4년 연속 감소한 수확량을 회복할 것으로 추정했는데 자국내 소비는 2050만백 규모로 예상됐습니다.

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